It's been awhile since we had one of these, and the predictions might be smaller going forward considering that the latest rumors involve Quest being... the one HMD to Rule them all.
So here are my predictions for VR in 2021
- All current Oculus Exclusives will wrap up, and any future Exclusives will be specific to Quest. No more PCVR Exclusives will be made outside of any current projects.
- Horizons will launch, but its first year will be lackluster. Horizons won't begin to truly shine until 2022.
- Most of the Oculus VR spotlight will be around Quest + Link, with a bigger emphasis on using Quest for PCVR as opposed to purchasing Quest titles natively.
- SteamVR will grow in popularity over Oculus Home for PCVR. Quest users will most likely associate Steam with "PCVR" as synonymous, since it would be confusing for Quest users to install 2 different "Oculus Homes" (one on Quest, one on PC).
- By December 2021, the demand for a better PCVR headset will increase, since Quest 2 users will be pushing its Link abilities to the limit.
- With PCVR demands increasing, Valve and HP will hit record high numbers in their PCVR HMDs.
- Oculus will discontinue the Rift-S by March 2021, but at the next Facebook Conference in September 2021, Oculus will announce a new PCVR headset.
Okay, that last prediction is me "going down with the ship" when it comes to Oculus PCVR. Yet I feel that the reason Facebook is discontinuing with the Rift is due to the fact that the market has dictated this as the best course of action; as a natural result of consumer purchasing trends.
However, the success of Quest and Link may very well increase the PCVR demand beyond what Quest is capable of accomplishing. This could cause a market shift away from stand-alone and more towards dedicated PCVR. And if that does happen... then Rift may return from the dead!
Any other takers and prediction makers?